\documentclass[10pt,a4paper]{article} % Packages \usepackage{fancyhdr} % For header and footer \usepackage{multicol} % Allows multicols in tables \usepackage{tabularx} % Intelligent column widths \usepackage{tabulary} % Used in header and footer \usepackage{hhline} % Border under tables \usepackage{graphicx} % For images \usepackage{xcolor} % For hex colours %\usepackage[utf8x]{inputenc} % For unicode character support \usepackage[T1]{fontenc} % Without this we get weird character replacements \usepackage{colortbl} % For coloured tables \usepackage{setspace} % For line height \usepackage{lastpage} % Needed for total page number \usepackage{seqsplit} % Splits long words. %\usepackage{opensans} % Can't make this work so far. Shame. Would be lovely. \usepackage[normalem]{ulem} % For underlining links % Most of the following are not required for the majority % of cheat sheets but are needed for some symbol support. \usepackage{amsmath} % Symbols \usepackage{MnSymbol} % Symbols \usepackage{wasysym} % Symbols %\usepackage[english,german,french,spanish,italian]{babel} % Languages % Document Info \author{echoecho} \pdfinfo{ /Title (savant.pdf) /Creator (Cheatography) /Author (echoecho) /Subject (savant Cheat Sheet) } % Lengths and widths \addtolength{\textwidth}{6cm} \addtolength{\textheight}{-1cm} \addtolength{\hoffset}{-3cm} \addtolength{\voffset}{-2cm} \setlength{\tabcolsep}{0.2cm} % Space between columns \setlength{\headsep}{-12pt} % Reduce space between header and content \setlength{\headheight}{85pt} % If less, LaTeX automatically increases it \renewcommand{\footrulewidth}{0pt} % Remove footer line \renewcommand{\headrulewidth}{0pt} % Remove header line \renewcommand{\seqinsert}{\ifmmode\allowbreak\else\-\fi} % Hyphens in seqsplit % This two commands together give roughly % the right line height in the tables \renewcommand{\arraystretch}{1.3} \onehalfspacing % Commands \newcommand{\SetRowColor}[1]{\noalign{\gdef\RowColorName{#1}}\rowcolor{\RowColorName}} % Shortcut for row colour \newcommand{\mymulticolumn}[3]{\multicolumn{#1}{>{\columncolor{\RowColorName}}#2}{#3}} % For coloured multi-cols \newcolumntype{x}[1]{>{\raggedright}p{#1}} % New column types for ragged-right paragraph columns \newcommand{\tn}{\tabularnewline} % Required as custom column type in use % Font and Colours \definecolor{HeadBackground}{HTML}{333333} \definecolor{FootBackground}{HTML}{666666} \definecolor{TextColor}{HTML}{333333} \definecolor{DarkBackground}{HTML}{B8AFFF} \definecolor{LightBackground}{HTML}{F6F5FF} \renewcommand{\familydefault}{\sfdefault} \color{TextColor} % Header and Footer \pagestyle{fancy} \fancyhead{} % Set header to blank \fancyfoot{} % Set footer to blank \fancyhead[L]{ \noindent \begin{multicols}{3} \begin{tabulary}{5.8cm}{C} \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \vspace{-7pt} {\parbox{\dimexpr\textwidth-2\fboxsep\relax}{\noindent \hspace*{-6pt}\includegraphics[width=5.8cm]{/web/www.cheatography.com/public/images/cheatography_logo.pdf}} } \end{tabulary} \columnbreak \begin{tabulary}{11cm}{L} \vspace{-2pt}\large{\bf{\textcolor{DarkBackground}{\textrm{savant Cheat Sheet}}}} \\ \normalsize{by \textcolor{DarkBackground}{echoecho} via \textcolor{DarkBackground}{\uline{cheatography.com/198358/cs/44029/}}} \end{tabulary} \end{multicols}} \fancyfoot[L]{ \footnotesize \noindent \begin{multicols}{3} \begin{tabulary}{5.8cm}{LL} \SetRowColor{FootBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{p{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{Cheatographer}} \\ \vspace{-2pt}echoecho \\ \uline{cheatography.com/echoecho} \\ \end{tabulary} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabulary}{5.8cm}{L} \SetRowColor{FootBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{p{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{Cheat Sheet}} \\ \vspace{-2pt}Not Yet Published.\\ Updated 25th January, 2025.\\ Page {\thepage} of \pageref{LastPage}. \end{tabulary} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabulary}{5.8cm}{L} \SetRowColor{FootBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{p{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{Sponsor}} \\ \SetRowColor{white} \vspace{-5pt} %\includegraphics[width=48px,height=48px]{dave.jpeg} Measure your website readability!\\ www.readability-score.com \end{tabulary} \end{multicols}} \begin{document} \raggedright \raggedcolumns % Set font size to small. Switch to any value % from this page to resize cheat sheet text: % www.emerson.emory.edu/services/latex/latex_169.html \footnotesize % Small font. \begin{multicols*}{3} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{X} \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{platt}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{platt created an internal fund and move all of his star traders from the firm fund into the internal fund, and the investor fund chronically unperformed because it was managed by an algo. copying the trades of the internal fund with a one day delay for a period of 4 years.} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 6) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}-} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{X} \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{icahn}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{the earnings U.S. corporations have been reporting in recent years are a {\bf{mirage and earnings guidance often doesn't account for stock compensation}}, {\bf{neglects to amortise intangible assets}}, and {\bf{ignores restructuring and takeover costs}}.} \tn % Row Count 5 (+ 5) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{big buybacks at companies like apple for years, said in an interview that share repurchases are not appropriate for all companies and should not be as ubiquitous as they are these days.} \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 4) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{a lot of midget CEOs/companies that are going 30/40x earnings via buying back stock. They buy back these stocks at very low interest rates in order to financially engineer and inflate earnings.} \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 4) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 0) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{many companies don't amortise intangible assets (overstated earnings)}}} \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 2) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{companies are not depreciating accurately. they disregard GAAP earnings. They go and acquire companies that has a product (the compound) however its going off patent relatively soon. they disregard amortising this as they believe they are so good and proceed onto purchasing even more companies. alot of these companies are not R\&D so they're at expense to it.} \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 8) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 0) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{investment made into a pool -\textgreater{} high-tax income -\textgreater{} low-tax} \tn % Row Count 25 (+ 2) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 25 (+ 0) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{napoleon}}: battle of friesland before he lost it all due to hubris.} \tn % Row Count 27 (+ 2) % Row 10 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{doesn't stay forever if you're not careful.} \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 1) % Row 11 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{a lot of people become neurotic when they attain what they long desired.} \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 2) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{X} \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{icahn (cont)}} \tn % Row 12 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{what is the gap? (The difference between the current stock price and your valuation).} \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 13 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{greenmail (Acquire large interest + threaten hostile takeover).} \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 2) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}-} \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{"Had a nice conversation with {[}X{]} today. Discussed my opinion that a larger buyback should be done now. We plan to speak again shortly."*} \tn \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}-} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4577 cm} x{2.79197 cm} x{1.32733 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{3}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{hohn}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} fund & (0.5\% of fund value)-{}-\textgreater{} & charity foundation \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} & (0.5\% donated, if earn more than 11\% gain)⬏ & \seqsplit{‎‎‎‎‎‎} \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 2) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}---} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.38896 cm} x{2.58804 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{to be success in fi}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{good memory:}} & to recognise patterns \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{need to be curious:}} & obsessed with how businesses make money and efficiencies everywhere \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 4) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{sell fast:}} & don't be emotionally attached, you can always buyback \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 3) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{grow:}} & focus on your personal growth curve \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 2) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{doubt yourself:}} & allow fluidity for your thesis to change \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 2) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{mentors:}} & find mentors who you can learn from \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 2) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{deals, deals, deals:}} & be focused on where deals can be made - where can you make more money or make more savings? \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 5) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{remain hungry:}} & be competitive \tn % Row Count 21 (+ 1) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{try not to solely focus on time:}} & when you plant the seed ensure you do all the right things. now the market will do what it does and triple the assets value in three weeks however that is not due to my skill. \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 9) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.38896 cm} x{2.58804 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{to be success in fi (cont)}} \tn % Row 9 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{be wary of undeserved confidence:}} & one of the biggest mistakes you can make is to make a lot of money by doing the wrong process(es) as the fool starts to proceed with the hubris that they were actively knowledgeable on the subject and in turn, lose all that was accumulated. \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 12) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{X} \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{druckenmiller}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- 60 hour weeks} \tn % Row Count 1 (+ 1) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- buy the market 2 years before the general election and sell it on the general election because they always rig things to be good on election year. (The US had major bottoms in 1978, 82, 86, 90, 94, 98 and 2002).} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 5) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- when you're right and you know something, you really feel it. you can't have enough. It's not whether you're right or wrong, you just have to have the max on when you're right.} \tn % Row Count 10 (+ 4) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- in the midst of crisis, purchase many bank debts right before the country is about to recover.} \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 2) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- trades with large margin of safety.} \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 1) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- no leverage.} \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 1) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- the one year trend starts in January.} \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 1) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{influencers are: news, spread, price liquidity, volume} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 2) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{debt}}} \tn % Row Count 18 (+ 1) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- distressed debt/bonds (common, preferred and junior subordinated debt)} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 2) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}-} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{druckenmiller (2)}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{passion:}} & finding passion can make an average person great. \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 3) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{novel approach:}} & fresh mind who does not have the battle scars of the older people within the firm that is too stupid to not know how to charge in anticipation of bull market. \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 8) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{in the event of war:}} & 70\% in oil and 30\% in defence stocks in event of war. \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 3) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{strong econ + interest rate increase = up:}} & if you have a strong economy and a central bank that is radically raising interest rates to resent inflation, your currency is going to go up. \tn % Row Count 22 (+ 8) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{great performers:}} & if you have a great performer, get out of the way and let them run. \tn % Row Count 26 (+ 4) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{managing people:}} & if they're having a difficult time, first reaction should not be screaming. Be supportive. \tn % Row Count 31 (+ 5) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{druckenmiller (2) (cont)}} \tn % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{handling emotions:}} & the number one cardinal sin in money management is unchecked emotion. \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 4) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{always understand the math:}} & the math works against you. If you perfect on a short, you can double your money. If you're wrong on a short, you can lose ten times your money. If you're dead wrong on a long, you lose your money. If you're right, you can make ten times your money. \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 13) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 0) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{nuggets}}} \tn % Row Count 18 (+ 1) % Row 10 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 18 (+ 0) % Row 11 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{be quick, markets don't wait:}} & invest and then investigate. \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 2) % Row 12 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{eggs in one basket, watch like an owl:}} & put all your eggs in one basket and watch it carefully. \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 3) % Row 13 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{alpha:}} & what's obvious is obviously wrong and it's already reflected in security prices.(if everything is rosey, there's nobody left to buy). \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 7) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{druckenmiller (2) (cont)}} \tn % Row 14 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{cause of the great economic problem:}} & every big economic problem in modern history has been proceeded by an asset bubble. \tn % Row Count 5 (+ 5) % Row 15 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{raising children:}} & with children quantity is better than quality. If you're good and they're around you eventually they'll get it. \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 6) % Row 16 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} & if you have more than one child. Spend one-on-one time with each person as they're all competing. \tn % Row Count 16 (+ 5) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{give me the key figures that Volker used to curb inflation! }}*} \tn \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4977 cm} p{0.4977 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{lynch}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{invest and integrate tech to boost shareholder equity}}} \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{growth, but if we find someone that has an amazing piece of technology, once we know that it works, customers love it, and it's the right way, do you then spend ten years building a Salesforce? Or do you go and buy, for a billion dollars, the existing player who's number four in that market, has all the customers and everything, and put the technology in, reversing it into the vehicle? It's really about using capital in a way that maximises it when you have a true technology advantage.} \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 10) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{magnitude of order difference}}} \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 1) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{something that either can solve a problem that hasn't been solved before, something where it can be done at literally a tenth of the cost - you want to see an order of magnitude difference.} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 4) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{intuition over convoluted spreads}}} \tn % Row Count 18 (+ 1) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{for a hard-headed academic his view of intuition made sense in terms of data processing and how we predict things happening. He was adamant that "hunches, gut feeling, intuition" were all sophisticated measures by which decisions are taken, "not boring spreadsheets. This is why big companies make such bad decisions. The danger of analysis drives me nuts but I've had to learn this."} \tn % Row Count 26 (+ 8) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{missed opportunity}}} \tn % Row Count 27 (+ 1) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{a "posh dreamer" came to him with a great idea to download music over the internet. Lynch said he spent a long time explaining to him why his vision wouldn't work. That it would take four days to download a single over the internet and the disc to store it on would cost the same as the average house.} \tn % Row Count 34 (+ 7) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4977 cm} p{0.4977 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{lynch (cont)}} \tn % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{reflecting on his response, he said: "of course, what I should have done is said all of that and then gone away and plotted the cost of disc drives and realised he could be on to something. however, the over-analysis stopped it happening and I missed out."} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 6) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{1.59264 cm} x{3.38436 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{griffin}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{the intangible:}} & intangible assets valuable derive from intangible aspects. \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 3) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{good research:}} & because here's the fun thing about the business: the job is fundamentally a research job. It's gathering information, drawing conclusions, understanding business models, understanding products, and understanding which elements of those are not reflected in the price of stocks. \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 11) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{fote.}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} 1. foresight & 2. no enemy, no friend, 3. there's a will, there's a wayjust competitors \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 4) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} 3. there's a will, there's a way & 4. the diesel oil monopoly \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 2) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} 5. sold most of assets to get back on track (comeback) & 6. patience \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 3) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} 7. diversification (insurance, shipping, real estate) & 8. family connection \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 3) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{1.89126 cm} x{3.08574 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{laffont}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{invest in 3's:}} & invest the first third immediately, keep a third if the stock market goes down 10-15\% and use the last third if the market goes down 30\%. \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 6) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{investors advantage:}} & being an investor is great as you get to live vicariously \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 3) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{know when to speak:}} & vengeance at times is best served by not saying anything. \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 3) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{cash is vital:}} & liquidity is the vital element of any business. \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 2) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{the golden cfo:}} & the CFO's of today have to be far much more than a mere bookkeeper. \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 3) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{patience is virtue:}} & people tend to overestimate what they can do in the short-run and underestimate what they can do in the long-run. \tn % Row Count 22 (+ 5) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{marks}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{"It's not what you buy, it's the price you pay that makes a good investment."}}} \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{the qualitative factors that promote and sustain high levels of ROIC and growth - the key metrics driving high cash flow generation and shareholder returns.} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 4) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{extracting the value in distressed assets}}} \tn % Row Count 7 (+ 1) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{there is value -{}- including margin of safety -{}- to be found in bankrupt or distressed companies because people panic or are forced to sell those companies' debt at distressed prices, even though there may be considerable marginal value in the underlying assets or businesses that can be realised by those with the patience and liquidity lend money or buy debt when nobody else will.} \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 8) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 0) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 0) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{tailored:}} & have a sense of what is the right balance for you. \tn % Row Count 18 (+ 3) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{understand the risks:}} & which is more important to you. keeping what you have or making more? One cannot do both. Every attempt to make more introduces the possibility of not having anymore of what one possess today. \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 10) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{credit:}} & can accomplish much more in credit than before (distressed credit + ) \tn % Row Count 32 (+ 4) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{marks (cont)}} \tn % Row 9 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{top down (strategic):}} & = what is the economy, rates going to do. Which sectors of the economy are going to do best \tn % Row Count 5 (+ 5) % Row 10 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{bottom up (less strategic):}} & = what's cheapest today, where are the sales? \tn % Row Count 8 (+ 3) % Row 11 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{non-performing loans:}} & example of this. china \tn % Row Count 10 (+ 2) % Row 12 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{mercy of the markets:}} & if you are investing in stocks and bonds, you are mainly putting yourself at the mercy of the market. \tn % Row Count 16 (+ 6) % Row 13 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} & {\emph{most investors efforts to improve on the results of the market don't work (short term trading, market timing etc.) hence why most mutual funds historically have not outperformed the S\&P. (Referred to as beta market, if most of your returns come from the market)}}* \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 14) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{marks (cont)}} \tn % Row 14 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{alpha via manager:}} & alternative investments are much more an alpha market. Meaning that returns are produced from the skill of the manager. {\emph{(alt. investments = higher returns)}} \tn % Row Count 8 (+ 8) % Row 15 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{niche:}} & high degree of specialisation \tn % Row Count 10 (+ 2) % Row 16 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{broad prospective:}} & do not base performance on market forecast/macro forecast as it is difficult to do correctly. \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 5) % Row 17 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{equity type returns from credit instruments:}} & (loans, corporate loans, loans for buyouts). Can get high single digits on high yield bonds and leverage loans (public, highly liquid) or low double digits on private loans for buyouts. \tn % Row Count 25 (+ 10) % Row 18 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} & {\emph{returns on credit instruments are much safer as oppose to equities who get the residual after everybody gets paid they get what's left. Credit gets paid early in the process and if people don't pay you, you get the company as they go bankrupt.}}* \tn % Row Count 38 (+ 13) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{marks (cont)}} \tn % Row 19 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{true reason of bankruptcy:}} & most bankruptcies don't occur because a business is continuously loosing money but from when a business borrows money, times get though and when they go to re-finance their loan the bank assesses them less creditworthy, bank does not have enough more or they have adjusted there standards to match the current economic climate. \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 17) % Row 20 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{risk on high yield:}} & the longterm average default rate on high yield bond has been \textasciitilde{}4\% \tn % Row Count 21 (+ 4) % Row 21 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} & {\emph{the more risk you take, the higher a return you may achieve.}}* \tn % Row Count 25 (+ 4) % Row 22 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{nobody really knows for certain:}} & people believe in the ability to predict the future. Either their own ability or others that they can identify. There are two types of forecasters: the ones who don't know and the ones who don't know they don't know. People need to know what the future holds and nobody else does. \tn % Row Count 40 (+ 15) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{marks (cont)}} \tn % Row 23 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{others' perception is what moves:}} & people believe there is a direct and mechanical link if a company has a good event the securities do well and if they have a bad event such as earnings the security does poorly. However, that is not the case as there is a intermediate step which is other market participants reactions. It is not solely whether the event was prosperous but how participants react to the event that determines the impact on the security prices. \tn % Row Count 22 (+ 22) % Row 24 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{know when to be still:}} & if there is nothing clever to do. It's a mistake to try and be clever. \tn % Row Count 26 (+ 4) % Row 25 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{inflation:}} & = too much money cashing too few goods causing prices to rise. \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 4) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{marks (cont)}} \tn % Row 26 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{respect the money:}} & respect your money or other market participants will take it from you. \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 4) % Row 27 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{be calm to outperform the herd:}} & do not let your emotions dictate your trading. If your thinking and emotion is the same as everybody else then you cannot do the "out-thinking" or "second level thinking" which is required to act against the herd to sell at high prices which are high because others are optimistic and buy at low prices because others are depressed. \tn % Row Count 21 (+ 17) % Row 28 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 21 (+ 0) % Row 29 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{market summary}}} \tn % Row Count 22 (+ 1) % Row 30 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- Investing comes down to two things: {\bf{fundamentals}} and {\bf{attitudes}} (psychology).} \tn % Row Count 24 (+ 2) % Row 31 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{fundamentals:}} & = things that will happen in economy and companies (sales, profits etc.) \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 4) % Row 32 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{attitudes:}} & = how will people view the fundamentals \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 2) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.43873 cm} x{2.53827 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thorp}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{"Chance can be thought of as the cards you are dealt in life. Choice is how you play them." "A lot of big choices that you make at some point or other, and then there are things that you can't control like who your parents were, and what kind of economic circumstances you were brought up in, where you started. Did you start 20 yards behind the start line or 20 yards ahead of it, or right on it? People start in different places. Those are cards that are dealt."}}} \tn % Row Count 10 (+ 10) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} {\emph{*figure out your skill set and apply:}} & "If you are really good at accounting, you might be good as a value investor. If you are strong in computers and math, you might do best with a quantitative approach." "If you aren't going to be a professional investor, just index." \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 13) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{circle of competence:}} & stay within your circle of competence, this is the hallmark of people who are rational. \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 5) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{four groups of investors:}} & the {\bf{first group prefers minimal work and should invest in indexes}}, as they perform better than most active investors paying adviser fees. the {\bf{second group enjoys learning about and analysing securities and can experiment with investing, but should not risk most of their resources}}. the {\bf{third group consists of professionals who may gain an edge, build skills, and earn excess returns}}, while the {\bf{fourth group focuses on collecting fees and wealth}}, however there's nothing really interesting in what they do. \tn % Row Count 55 (+ 27) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.43873 cm} x{2.53827 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thorp (cont)}} \tn % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{tilt the playing field:}} & maybe the majority of wealth is accumulated because of tilted playing fields. not because of merit. {\bf{It should not be seen as gambling if you define it as a negative NPV activity}}. only invest when you have a statistically generated advantage or an "edge". \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 14) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{the bigger the edge:}} & the {\bf{greater the risk you take, the more cautious you must be}}. Charlie Munger compares this to poker, where {\bf{knowing when to fold a beloved hand is crucial}}. he advises folding early when the odds are against you and betting heavily when you get big edge as you don't often. \tn % Row Count 29 (+ 15) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{distrust of the whisperer:}} & {\bf{the longer he operated in wall street the more distrustful he became of tips and "inside" information of every kind}}. \tn % Row Count 36 (+ 7) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.43873 cm} x{2.53827 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thorp (cont)}} \tn % Row 7 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} & most stock-picking stories, advice, and recommendations are worthless, and it's difficult to identify and predict asset bubbles. the book "Superforecasting" by Dan Gardner and Philip Tetlock reveals that {\bf{experts often don't provide valuable insights and tend to make inaccurate claims}}, they receive a lot of media attention because they make definitive claims. {\bf{people who consider various possibilities can make slightly better predictions}} than chance. {\bf{inside information can be dangerous, as it often leads individuals to ignore obvious economic facts and act overconfidently}}. "given time, {\bf{I believe that inside information can break the Bank of England or the United States Treasury}}. a man with no special pipeline of information will study the economic facts of a situation and will act coldly on that basis. give the same man inside information and he feels himself so much smarter than other people that he will disregard the most evident facts." \tn % Row Count 49 (+ 49) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{most market professionals think card games are too risky, they do not understand its safer than stocks when done right.}}*} \tn \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thiel}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{hero/outcast model:}} & says that the best entrepreneurs are going to be out on the edge of the bell curve on a lot of different axes. Either they're excellent students or they're bored by school and pay minimal attention to grades. Either they're star athletes or they won't have anything to do with sports. \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 15) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} & {\emph{exceptional behaviour, either good or bad, yields exceptional results. conventional behavior, on the other hand, yields conventional results.}}* \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 8) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 0) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{am i better off?}} & am I better off by engaging in dialogue with you? \tn % Row Count 26 (+ 3) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{needs to be novel:}} & the something or somewhere is really mostly the nothing of nowhere. \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 4) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thiel (cont)}} \tn % Row 5 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{if you're copying, you're not learning:}} & if you're copying someone 1:1 you're not learning from them. \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 4) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{all the best companies are different:}} & the opening line in Anna Karenina is all families happy are alike, all unhappy families are unhappy in their own special way. \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 7) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} & in business is the opposite whereby: all happy companies are different and all unhappy companies are alike because they fail to escape the essential sameness, namely, competition. \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 9) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{white} & invest in companies with durable competitive advantage. \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 3) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{network effects:}} & network effects is hard to get started. Whilst many understand it there's always the tricky question; why it is valuable to the first person doing something. \tn % Row Count 31 (+ 8) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thiel (cont)}} \tn % Row 10 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{monopoly and the last mover:}} & it's not enough to have a monopoly that last just a moment. The critical thing is to have one that lasts over time. Last mover, the last company standing in a category. \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 9) % Row 11 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{value of the future (think longterm:}} & most of the value in such companies exist far into the future. growth rate is much higher than the discount rate. Growth rate = 100\% and was discounting cash flow by 30\% at PayPal. 3/4 of the value of the business as of 2001 came from cash flows from 2011 and beyond. \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 14) % Row 12 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} & {\emph{what is typically undervalued is growth rates and what is overvalued is durability.}}* \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 5) % Row 13 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{monopolistic durability:}} & the question of whether a company is still going to be around, dominates the value equation, and is a qualitative task. there's a time dimension that is usually overlooked, are these things going to last over time. (network effects is a good manifestation of this). \tn % Row Count 42 (+ 14) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thiel (cont)}} \tn % Row 14 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{characteristics of monopoly}}} \tn % Row Count 1 (+ 1) % Row 15 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\textgreater{} proprietary technology\{\{nl\}\}\textgreater{} network effects\{\{nl\}\}\textgreater{} economies of scale\{\{nl\}\}\textgreater{} branding} \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 2) % Row 16 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{the first mover in chess is someone who plays white. white has about a one-third of a pawn advantage, so there's a small advantage to going first. {\bf{you want to be the last mover—the one who wins the game}}. \{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\} as the world chess champion capablanca once said, {\bf{"you must begin by studying the endgame."}} while I wouldn't say that's the only thing you should study, I think this perspective of asking these questions—why will this still be the leading company 10, 15, or 20 years from now—is a really critical one to consider.} \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 11) % Row 17 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 0) % Row 18 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{bits allow speed:}} & world of bits allows faster adoption in comparison to the world of atoms. \tn % Row Count 18 (+ 4) % Row 19 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{don't be decieved by TAM:}} & what is the objective total market (TAM) as a narrative can be conjured that is fictional and much bigger or smaller. always remember that people have incentives to powerfully distort such figures made public. \tn % Row Count 29 (+ 11) % Row 20 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{avoid fad methodologies:}} & skeptical of lean startup methodologies. great companies did things that were a quantum improvement/leap that really differentiated them from everybody else. No massive customer surveys, not deterred by what others tell to do. \tn % Row Count 41 (+ 12) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thiel (cont)}} \tn % Row 21 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{move fast, break things:}} & there's not enough time to mitigate risk. If you take enough time to figure out what people want, you often would have missed the boat by then. \tn % Row Count 8 (+ 8) % Row 22 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{mba v. founders:}} & studies have been done that usually the people who go to business school is sort of the anti-Asperger's institution. where you have people who are extremely extroverted, generally have low conviction and few few novel ideas. put these people in this place for two years and at the end of it they end up being the largest cohort that systematically tend to do the wrong thing. \tn % Row Count 27 (+ 19) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4977 cm} p{0.4977 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thiel (2)}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{get started}}} \tn % Row Count 1 (+ 1) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{just get started, your idea is going to evolve. most companies started out as a product, many of which were side projects.} \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 3) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 0) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{zero to one}}} \tn % Row Count 5 (+ 1) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{you should not start a business for the sake of starting a business. "you don't start a company for its own sake, but because there is a large, specific problem that can not be solved in the existing structure when they become too sclerotic, political and stagnant."} \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 6) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{you should start a business because there is a problem that nobody else is solving. that is what entrepreneurs are, at their best. when I hear about a company that makes a lot of sense that is really fresh and strange, that is often a really promising kind of idea. whereas, when it is the fourth online pet food company or the tenth thin film solar panel company...that is often not as good of an investment.} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 9) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 0) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{take risk}}} \tn % Row Count 21 (+ 1) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{in a word changing so quickly, the biggest risk you can take is not taking any risk.} \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 2) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 0) % Row 10 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{a good board challenges a ceo/founder to think differently. aid them in thinking multi-dimensionally.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}successful people find value in unexpected places. If you are looking where everyone else is looking you will be surrounded with competition and it'll be quite difficult to differentiate.} \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 7) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4977 cm} p{0.4977 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{thiel (2) (cont)}} \tn % Row 11 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{"from the outside everyone wants to get in, but everyone on the inside wants to get out"} \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 12 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 0) % Row 13 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{team}}} \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 1) % Row 14 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{salary of the founder should be less than 150,000, even post Series A*} \tn % Row Count 5 (+ 2) % Row 15 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{hire full-time, no consultants, no part time, no working from home, eco should pay himself/herself less than everyone else.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}working with people you're close to is underrated.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}don't have team members instantly join the team. that will avoid bad hiring to fix short term problems from the team (even up to 3 months)\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}compassion is offering severance packages (a minimum of 4 months). the legal release you get in exchange for the severance package helps avoid employee lawsuits.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}conflicts arise when people want the same thing.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}the mission of the company should be sharp differentiated from the rest of the world.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}differentiate roles sharply within the company.} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 15) % Row 16 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{NOI (net operating income) of the build.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}only 1\% growth - with great government stimuli, 0\% interest rate, globalisation and tech development. (unfortunately, no one can effectively short the education system.)} \tn % Row Count 25 (+ 5) % Row 17 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 25 (+ 0) % Row 18 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{equity}}} \tn % Row Count 26 (+ 1) % Row 19 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{be extremely generous with employees, and a lot less generous with investors.} \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 2) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4977 cm} p{0.4977 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{marks (2)}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 0 (+ 0) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4977 cm} p{0.4977 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{hayes}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 0 (+ 0) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{p{0.4977 cm} p{0.4977 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{soros}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{exploit fallibility and reflexivity}}} \tn % Row Count 1 (+ 1) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{all humans are fallible, so all investors are not perfect. In situations where you have thinking participants the participants view of the worlds never perfectly correspond to the actual state of affairs. people can gain knowledge of initial facts and truths but when it comes to forming an overall view their perspective is bound to be biased, inconsistent or both.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}these fallible views impact the situation to which they relate. Investors imperfect view impacts the market, which in turn reflects its impact back to the investors which again the investors reflects its impact back onto the market.} \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 13) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{new markets}}} \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 1) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{huge amounts of money piled in, fuelled with leverage , financing and the greed of fallible humans.} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 2) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{bet large when opportunities come}}} \tn % Row Count 18 (+ 1) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{profit big when right, lose small when wrong (high reward, low risk bets)} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 2) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{make money when controlled markets revert to free markets}}, used 1B\$ to borrow Thai BAHT and converts the BAHT into USD. waited for the Thai BAHT to get weaker so he can pay back the debt at a lower rate (essentially a huge short against the BAHT that needs to devalue)} \tn % Row Count 26 (+ 6) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{don't look for rules, look for rule changes}}} \tn % Row Count 27 (+ 1) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{spot where other investors are making mistakes. where are people applying conventional investing rules to markets where the rules have changed.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}be fluid, ready to adapt to change. look for signs that a trend has been exhausted. then disengage from the herd and then look for a different investment thesis.\{\{nl\}\}\{\{nl\}\}if the trend has been carried to excess, you have the option to probe against it.} \tn % Row Count 36 (+ 9) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{"If investing is entertaining, if you're having fun, you're probably not making any money. good investing is boring."}} \newline \newline {\emph{"it's not how right to wrong you are that matters but how much money you make when right and how much you do not lose when wrong."}}} \tn \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{X} \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{ackman}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- the key is owning business that have pricing power.} \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- many businesses can do well with 3\% inflation, it is hard to manage a business in a world were inflation is volatile.} \tn % Row Count 5 (+ 3) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- own royalty orientated business (universal - royalty on music, hilton - royalty on people staying in hotels or going to events etc.)} \tn % Row Count 8 (+ 3) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- value of a business is the present value of the cash you can take out of it over its life discounted back at an appropriate interest rate (most discount using 2\%, use 8-15\%) as this will discount the uncertainty inherent of investing in equities} \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 5) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- if something changes that makes the predictability of the business extremely difficult from when your initial investment was made, i.e. a big change in business strategy/model, exit.} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 4) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 0) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- shoudn't keep a few hundred million dollars sitting in a bank forever. Other than cash one needs for daily needs this number should be kept pretty small, everything else should go into a U.S. treasury money market account or to ownage of U.S. treasury bills directly. Through this, one is not taking bank risk and only facing the U.S. Sovereign.} \tn % Row Count 24 (+ 7) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- the minimal cash that is kept on hand can be parked at J.P. Morgan or a prime broker like Goldman Sachs or UBS and monitor these institutions very carefully.} \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 4) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 0) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- in past history there's been a recession every 7-8 years. Assuming tomorrow follows the very same pattern. This is already factored in to the value of the enterprise. The only reason why a recession destroys value is usually due to the fact that a company is highly leveraged. If revenue declines and cash flow goes negative. The company can't support their debt and they go bankrupt, however if it is a well capitalised business a recession shouldn't have a meaningful impact on such company beyond the short term.} \tn % Row Count 39 (+ 11) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{X} \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{ackman (cont)}} \tn % Row 10 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{- complexity, by its nature, provides more opportunities to be fraudulent. Even more for financial institutions.} \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 3) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}-} \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{1}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{the ackman}} \newline place short position -\textgreater{} cause panic -\textgreater{} sell the short position -\textgreater{} purchase beat down stock assets -\textgreater{} repeat the process} \tn \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}-} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{1.94103 cm} x{3.03597 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{ackman (pershing principles)}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{simple:}} & simple and predictable businesses. \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{cf:}} & free cash flow generative. \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 2) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{market share:}} & dominant market position. \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 2) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{hard to do:}} & large barriers to entry. \tn % Row Count 7 (+ 1) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{hard return:}} & high return on capital. \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 2) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{minimal expo. to risk:}} & limited exposure to non-controllable extrinsic risks. \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 3) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{strong b/s:}} & strong balance sheet where outside capital is not necessary. \tn % Row Count 15 (+ 3) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{good management:}} & excellent management and good governance. \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 2) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{with traditional funds, - People take their money out every quarter.{\bf{ \newline \newline }}to bypass this utilise permanent capital, if clients want to sell stock they can, but the money stays.}}*} \tn \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{dredge}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{on convexity}}} \tn % Row Count 1 (+ 1) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{modern portfolio theory "optimise based on a risk appetite, maximising expected returns".} \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 2) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{kelly criterion rule:}} & formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize long-term wealth, balancing potential profits and the risk of ruin. \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 8) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{agnostic buyer of volatility.} \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 1) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{cheap volatility is inherently implicit leverage.} \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 1) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{the world isn't about unanticipated exogenous events. The worlds is about built up accumulated endogenous risk in the system (In physics this is known as self-organised criticality).} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 4) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{long volatility, long convexity (defensive side/ tail-risk strategy)} \tn % Row Count 19 (+ 2) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{guy with the best brakes wins} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 1) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{denominator is the most important factor in compounding:}} & the denominator is more important than the numerator \tn % Row Count 23 (+ 3) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{"prevention is better than cure"} \tn % Row Count 24 (+ 1) % Row 10 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{middle players on football pitch, result is determined within 2\% on either end} \tn % Row Count 26 (+ 2) % Row 11 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{rarely do you earn asymmetric returns betting on the expected outcome} \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 2) % Row 12 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 0) % Row 13 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{the longer time passes without anything happening the more risk there is} \tn % Row Count 30 (+ 2) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{dredge (cont)}} \tn % Row 14 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{the endogenous risk is due to the lack of capital behind supporting of the buildup of this risk taking} \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 3) % Row 15 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{very leveraged, 0\% RWA, slightest change in the assured correlation in those mortgages wiped out all the capital in the whole banking system} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 3) % Row 16 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{who's going to take the 40?} \tn % Row Count 7 (+ 1) % Row 17 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{government bonds treated as riskless-risk reducing (levered gilts, LDI, pension schemes)} \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 2) % Row 18 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{ask is Sharpe world closing? Is money leaving?} \tn % Row Count 10 (+ 1) % Row 19 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{there is no transitory part in the debasement of a currency} \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 2) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{s. klarman}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{overview}}} \tn % Row Count 1 (+ 1) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{do a typical value style npv analysis:}} & klarman prefers {\bf{cashflows not dividends}}.(\textdagger{}) \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 3) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{liquidation value:}} & estimate the liquidation value of the assets.(\textdagger{}\textdagger{}) \tn % Row Count 7 (+ 3) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{find comparables:}} & try and find stock market comparatives it is trading more cheaply based on (\textdagger{}) and (\textdagger{}\textdagger{}). For more complex companies break the company into pieces and compute the value of parts. \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 10) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 17 (+ 0) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{strive for a margin of safety:}} & when investing, always aim to purchase assets at a significant discount to their intrinsic value to protect against potential downside risk. This is especially critical in volatile or uncertain market conditions.
 \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 11) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{understand intrinsic value::}} & know the true value of an investment, rather than relying on market prices or trends, to make informed decisions and avoid overpaying. By understanding intrinsic value, you can make better-informed decisions and avoid overpaying for an investment. \tn % Row Count 41 (+ 13) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{s. klarman (cont)}} \tn % Row 7 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{be a contrarian:}} & seek out undervalued assets that the market may be overlooking, to find hidden gems with substantial growth potential. \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 6) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{mind the market psychology:}} & understand how emotions and perceptions can influence market trends, so you can better anticipate market movements and make informed decisions. \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 8) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{be ready to act:}} & don't miss out on potential investments due to hesitation or procrastination. Be prepared to act when opportunities arise. By being ready to act, you can capitalise on market opportunities and achieve superior returns. \tn % Row Count 25 (+ 11) % Row 10 \SetRowColor{white} Practice discipline:  & true value investors must be unemotional and willing to hold onto their investments for the long term, even when others are panicking. \tn % Row Count 32 (+ 7) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.4885 cm} x{2.4885 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{s. klarman (cont)}} \tn % Row 11 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{conduct due diligence:}} & analyse the financial and qualitative aspects of a business, such as its management, competitive position, and industry trends, before making any investment decisions. \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 9) % Row 12 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{maintain a long-term perspective:}} & focus on building wealth over time, rather than trying to make quick profits or time the market. \tn % Row Count 14 (+ 5) % Row 13 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{be patient:}} & avoid hasty decisions and remain patient, even during short-term market fluctuations. This will help you avoid costly mistakes. \tn % Row Count 21 (+ 7) % Row 14 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{avoid speculation:}} & steer clear of high-risk investments and focus on finding undervalued assets with a margin of safety for better returns in the long term. \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 7) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.09034 cm} x{2.88666 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{cohen}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{biggest mistakes}}} \tn % Row Count 1 (+ 1) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- they make trades without good reason (for instance, buy every 5\% or more drop during a crisis)} \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 2) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- stepping in front of freight trains} \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 1) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- shorting stocks that are up} \tn % Row Count 5 (+ 1) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- know what you are and what you are not} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 1) % Row 5 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 0) % Row 6 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- plan before, not during a crisis} \tn % Row Count 7 (+ 1) % Row 7 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- the stock price changed for a reason (there's always a reason and the real question is whether it's worthwhile to find out, as this takes precious time)} \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 4) % Row 8 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- policy makers play by their own rules (rookies say "they can't do that")} \tn % Row Count 13 (+ 2) % Row 9 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- valuations don't matter (math is not an investment edge). the most important thing is why its cheap or expensive and "how" that changes} \tn % Row Count 16 (+ 3) % Row 10 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{- misunderstanding time frames (only look at charts where the time period shown matches your holding period. If you plan to hold US equities for 20 years, look at a 20-year chart).} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 4) % Row 11 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 20 (+ 0) % Row 12 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{avoid being too illiquid:}} & this means having a comfortable share of your portfolio in assets you can sell quickly for a fair price. Some illiquid assets might include real estate and fine art. Having a high level of liquidity allows investors to swiftly move their money when and to where they see fit. \tn % Row Count 32 (+ 12) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.09034 cm} x{2.88666 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{cohen (cont)}} \tn % Row 13 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{don't be over- leveraged:}} & using leverage means investing with borrowed money. The upside can be substantial when using leverage, but this also means that the downside can be disastrous. \tn % Row Count 7 (+ 7) % Row 14 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{focus on your losers:}} & if you feel like something is changing or feel like you don't know why, reduce positions. \tn % Row Count 11 (+ 4) % Row 15 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{extra time to analyse:}} & use the weekend to analyse why its happening and be thoughtful about it as oppose to attributing it to "I'm not working hard enough, I'll just work an extra two hours." \tn % Row Count 19 (+ 8) % Row 16 \SetRowColor{white} {\bf{remain calm:}} & lean into crisis' with equanimity instead of being reactionary \tn % Row Count 22 (+ 3) % Row 17 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} {\bf{managing drawdowns:}} & if you have drawdowns at the start of the year it's the toughest as you don't have any profits to off-set them. \tn % Row Count 27 (+ 5) % Row 18 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{} \tn % Row Count 27 (+ 0) % Row 19 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\bf{trades}}} \tn % Row Count 28 (+ 1) % Row 20 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{a stock's move is 40\% down to the market, 30\% to the sector and only 30\% down to the stock. Conceptually the idea makes sense.} \tn % Row Count 31 (+ 3) \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \vfill \columnbreak \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.09034 cm} x{2.88666 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{cohen (cont)}} \tn % Row 21 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{the {\bf{best trader makes money 63\% of the time}}. Most are 50\% to 55\%. So you must ensure your losses are as small as they can be and that your winners are bigger.} \tn % Row Count 4 (+ 4) % Row 22 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{move with your feet if you think you're wrong. {\bf{if you think you're wrong on a position - half it}}...} \tn % Row Count 7 (+ 3) % Row 23 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{know who you are as a trader.} \tn % Row Count 8 (+ 1) % Row 24 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{you can't control the market, but you can control your reaction. We can't control whether the market is going to crash or rally but we can control our response to the market.} \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 4) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{if you have drawdowns at the start of the year its the toughest as you don't have any profits to off-set them.}}*} \tn \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} \begin{tabularx}{5.377cm}{x{2.58804 cm} x{2.38896 cm} } \SetRowColor{DarkBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{\bf\textcolor{white}{buffett}} \tn % Row 0 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} stable/general stocks like sector funds & take 20-50\% (compounded \textasciitilde{}20\% a year) \tn % Row Count 2 (+ 2) % Row 1 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{leverage trades, 2x-4x} \tn % Row Count 3 (+ 1) % Row 2 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{good basket of equities, strong cash, flow returns(use to pay down debt should you have to sit on it a while)} \tn % Row Count 6 (+ 3) % Row 3 \SetRowColor{white} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{acquisition of insurance companies (bypass LP/GP partnership and perfect the concept of capital allocation)} \tn % Row Count 9 (+ 3) % Row 4 \SetRowColor{LightBackground} \mymulticolumn{2}{x{5.377cm}}{{\emph{"I'd rather buy a great business at a reasonable price than a reasonable business at a great price."}}} \tn % Row Count 12 (+ 3) \hhline{>{\arrayrulecolor{DarkBackground}}--} \end{tabularx} \par\addvspace{1.3em} % That's all folks \end{multicols*} \end{document}